Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.315131 0.367004 0.424876 0.494255 0.575225 0.666797 0.778321
2025-02-02 0.241718 0.312420 0.399968 0.516507 0.667866 0.858215 1.116469
2025-02-09 0.200953 0.278894 0.382543 0.530805 0.738096 1.018631 1.428888
2025-02-16 0.170665 0.250944 0.364074 0.535667 0.790468 1.156649 1.726187
2025-02-23 0.146167 0.225878 0.343954 0.532350 0.827063 1.273242 2.005388
2025-03-02 0.124336 0.200796 0.319184 0.516773 0.840549 1.354032 2.237963
2025-03-09 0.113293 0.190541 0.315132 0.531905 0.902698 1.516615 2.621521
2025-03-16 0.101645 0.177437 0.304349 0.533772 0.942036 1.645376 2.964379
2025-03-23 0.093229 0.168522 0.299102 0.543790 0.995712 1.803915 3.379527
2025-03-30 0.082965 0.154903 0.283801 0.533541 1.011050 1.895301 3.682800
2025-04-06 0.074896 0.144196 0.272273 0.528432 1.034623 2.003645 4.031460
2025-04-13 0.068760 0.136325 0.264945 0.530140 1.071011 2.139963 4.452558
2025-04-20 0.065957 0.134745 0.269711 0.556785 1.161538 2.396445 5.160897
2025-04-27 0.063075 0.132664 0.273276 0.581565 1.251826 2.664868 5.935512
2025-05-04 0.059593 0.128867 0.272823 0.597710 1.325689 2.907981 6.689497
2025-05-11 0.055498 0.123228 0.267791 0.603198 1.376740 3.107919 7.374196
2025-05-18 0.051072 0.116306 0.259148 0.599454 1.406295 3.263339 7.976745
2025-05-25 0.046076 0.107482 0.245255 0.581873 1.401299 3.338468 8.395822
2025-06-01 0.044055 0.105288 0.246083 0.598952 1.481107 3.623741 9.379347
2025-06-08 0.041205 0.100777 0.240993 0.601059 1.524407 3.825880 10.179440
2025-06-15 0.039176 0.098010 0.239706 0.612367 1.592232 4.097583 11.202811
2025-06-22 0.036004 0.092023 0.229898 0.600799 1.599427 4.215136 11.825412
2025-06-29 0.033442 0.087287 0.222666 0.595032 1.621243 4.373829 12.586633